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Off The Cuff: Decoding This Week’s Fed Minutes

The User's Profile Adam Taggart June 21, 2019
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In this week’s Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Axel Merk discuss:

  • Decoding The Fed’s Latest Commentary
    • Cuts are coming = expect more bad news on the economy
  • The Uncertainty Principle
    • By reacting, the Fed may be creating the conditions it wants to avoid
  • Gold Looking Good
    • Lower real rates will push the gold price higher
  • How Low Will Interest Rates Go?
    • Could the US really go negative?

This week  both the ECB and the Federal Reserve gave the market the soothing words it wanted to hear: any weakness will be met with rate cuts. And perhaps revived asset purchase programs.

Is this really wise with interest rates already so low and a global recession unfolding? And how low, really, is the Fed prepared to go with US interest rates? Axel, who maintains a dialog with Fed insiders, does his best in this week’s podcast to decode what Mario Draghi and Jerome Powell are planning:

It’s going to be very, very interesting to watch. And over the next decade or so I think we’ll see some very, very interesting things. And I would not just assume that everything that’s priced into the markets shows how things are going to pan out to be.

We are hell-bent on lowering rates right now. And the question is how we set ourselves for a course of rate cut after rate cut after rate cut on a slowing economy.

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