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Interview with Bill Fleckenstein (Part 2): Outlook for 2011

The second part of Chris’ interview with Bill Fleckenstein is reserved below for you, our enrolled members.

If you’ve not yet listened to Part 1, click here to do so.

Part 2 of this interview delves into Bill’s vision on where the Fed’s money printing is leading: notably, to a currency and/or bond market crisis.

He and Chris discuss the timing of how quickly such an event could play out, what advance signals to look for, and where investors can position themselves in advance.

Interview with Bill Fleckenstein (Part 2): Outlook for 2011

PREVIEW

The second part of Chris’ interview with Bill Fleckenstein is reserved below for you, our enrolled members.

If you’ve not yet listened to Part 1, click here to do so.

Part 2 of this interview delves into Bill’s vision on where the Fed’s money printing is leading: notably, to a currency and/or bond market crisis.

He and Chris discuss the timing of how quickly such an event could play out, what advance signals to look for, and where investors can position themselves in advance.

Bill Fleckenstein: The Race to the Bottom Will Be Won by the Dollar

"This printing money is going to lead to huge trouble. It’s going to lead to higher interest rates. It’s going to lead to more inflation, and at some point there is going to be a train wreck in the currency and the bond market."

Market commentator and money manager Bill Fleckenstein sat down for a recent interview with PeakProsperity.com and excoriated the Fed and the monetary policy it's pursuing. He and Chris discuss the factors that enabled Bill to be one of the first to accurately identify and warn of the housing and credit bubbles – and how history is now repeating itself via the profligate printing of U.S. dollars. The interview covers a wide range of topics meaningful to the investor trying to make sense of where things are headed from here – including central banking culture, bubble psychology, high-frequency trading, inflation/deflation, and the true relative value of the dollar vs. the euro.

Bill Fleckenstein: The Race to the Bottom Will Be Won by the Dollar

Interview with Marc Faber (Part 2): Prognosis for 2011

PREVIEW

The second part of Chris’ interview with Marc Faber is reserved below for you, our enrolled members.

If you’ve not yet listened to Part 1, click here to do so.

Part 2 of the interview takes a critical look at longstanding and widely-held assumptions that are dangerous to maintain in today’s reality. America is due for a rude awakening as it increasingly realizes the rest of the world is less dependent upon it (and less respectful of it) than it thinks. Or that there’s not enough global energy supply to keep historic growth trajectories continuing ad infinitum.

Marc discusses his vision for the most likely way in which the current economic situation will play out, plus his specific outlook for 2011 – including the investments he believes are best-suited to the future he sees.

Interview with Marc Faber (Part 2): Prognosis for 2011

PREVIEW

The second part of Chris’ interview with Marc Faber is reserved below for you, our enrolled members.

If you’ve not yet listened to Part 1, click here to do so.

Bad Medicine: Dr. Marc Faber on Bernanke’s Quack Cures

"If there's one institution in the US that consistently and repeatedly messes up everything, the Federal Reserve is that institution."

So says famed investor Marc Faber in an interview he gave to PeakProsperity.com this week. In it, Chris and he dive deep into the Fed activity (encouraged by Washington and Wall Street) responsible for the current severe health of our economic system. Both feel that once you understand the nature of the critical role the Fed now plays, you have much better clarity into what the most probable outcomes for our economy and financial markets will be.

Bad Medicine: Dr. Marc Faber on Bernanke’s Quack Cures

"If there's one institution in the US that consistently and repeatedly messes up everything, the Federal Reserve is that institution."

Your Chance to Advance Science

Dan Ariely needs lab rats.

Our new friend, the renowned behavioral economics researcher, is conducting an experiment to better understand people’s perceptions around wealth inequality. A timely subject, as the wealth gap between rich and poor in many developed countries is now reaching all-time highs.

Following Chris’ recent interview with him, Dan has put together a survey for the CM.com audience to fill out on this topic. Perhaps we’ll become one of the colorful studies Dan is famous for citing in his talks!

If you’re game for it, take 10 minutes to fill out Dan’s survey. And remember, this is for posterity, so please be honest. (Can anyone cite that film reference?)

Here’s a bit more background in Dan’s own words:

Your Chance to Advance Science

Dan Ariely needs lab rats.

If you’re game for it, take 10 minutes to fill out Dan’s survey. And remember, this is for posterity, so please be honest. (Can anyone cite that film reference?)

Here’s a bit more background in Dan’s own words:

Combating Peak Oil with Wind and Smarter Electric Power

We spend a lot of time on this site discussing the risks posed by Peak Oil. It’s important to us that you understand the magnitude of our national/global predicament and take appropriate preparations.

But in addition to tracking the gathering stormclouds (of which there are many), our info scouting efforts also look for developments with potential to change the situation positively.

In the podcast below, Chris and Willett Kempton explore the potential of wind power to reduce the energy pinch threat posed by depleting fossil fuels. Dr. Kempton is an electrical engineering professor at the University of Delaware and director of the Center for Carbon-Free Power Integration. Turns out, while still early in the game, there’s action going on in wind and electricity-management that offers real promise.

Combating Peak Oil with Wind and Smarter Electric Power

But in addition to tracking the gathering stormclouds (of which there are many), our info scouting efforts also look for developments with potential to change the situation positively.

Willett Kempton: Combating Peak Oil with Wind and Smarter Electric Power

We spend a lot of time on this site discussing the risks posed by Peak Oil. It's important to us that you understand the magnitude of our national/global predicament and take appropriate preparations.

But in addition to tracking the gathering stormclouds (of which there are many), our info scouting efforts also look for developments with potential to change the situation positively.

In the podcast below, Chris and Willett Kempton explore the potential of wind power to reduce the energy pinch threat posed by depleting fossil fuels. Dr. Kempton is an electrical engineering professor at the University of Delaware and director of the Center for Carbon-Free Power Integration. Turns out, while still early in the game, there's action going on in wind and electricity-management that offers real promise.

Willett Kempton: Combating Peak Oil with Wind and Smarter Electric Power

But in addition to tracking the gathering stormclouds (of which there are many), our info scouting efforts also look for developments with potential to change the situation positively.

In the podcast below, Chris and Willett Kempton explore the potential of wind power to reduce the energy pinch threat posed by depleting fossil fuels. Dr. Kempton is an electrical engineering professor at the University of Delaware and director of the Center for Carbon-Free Power Integration. Turns out, while still early in the game, there's action going on in wind and electricity-management that offers real promise.

Dan Ariely Decodes Why Humans Are Hard-Wired To Inflate

Looking back at the carnage created by the bursting of the credit bubble, it’s natural to scratch your head and ask “How did we ever let that happen?” Behavioral economics exists to answer questions like this.

Last week Chris sat down with Dan Ariely, gallivanting behavioral-economics-researcher-extraordinaire, who is breathing new life into this previously obscure field of study. The resulting interview is full of fresh, non-intuitive insights and shines light on how the human brain is often hard-wired for irrational action when it comes to money.

One of the key takeaways for us was how Dan’s research provides an empirical explanation for why inflation will likely win the day: our mental programming leads us to prefer behavior that favors it.

Dan Ariely Decodes Why Humans Are Hard-Wired To Inflate

Dan Ariely

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Dan Ariely

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Perspective for the New Year

Chris and I spent last week down in Charleston, SC at a gathering of thought leaders. Participants included politicians, scientists, economists, diplomats, astronauts, financiers, media personalities, entrepreneurs, entertainment executives, and others of specialized expertise. It was a humbling group to mingle with.

The general purpose of the event was to share observations about the opportunities and challenges our society faces, and to spark new thinking as to how to address them.

Chris and I spent several days attending and participating in panel discussions (there were hundreds to choose from) as well as in private conversation with many of the luminaries there. Our detailed observations from Day 1 and Day 2 are available for our enrolled members (enrollment required).

The experience was valuable for us: it sharpened our thinking on a number of fronts. We think it will be useful for you to understand how, so you have a sense of where our minds are as we look forward to the year ahead. What follows are our high-level observations and generalizations. As always, something gets lost when you reduce a rich experience into a few ideas, but with that caveat in place, here’s what we came away with:

Perspective for the New Year

The general purpose of the event was to share observations about the opportunities and challenges our society faces, and to spark new thinking as to how to address them.

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