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Axel Merk

Image | Off The Cuff: The Flip-Flop Fed
Off The Cuff: The Flip-Flop Fed
 PREVIEW
by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Axel Merk discuss:

  • The Fed's Flip-Flop
    • Powell suddenly starts signing a dovish tune
  • Which Risks Are The Ones Most Worth Watching
    • Not all risks are created equal
  • Corp Profits vs Wage Inflation
    • Why does the Fed value one and hate the other?
  • Outlook For Gold
    • Looking better and better

Our resident Fed expert, Axel Merk, does his best to interpret the abrupt capitulation Jerome Powell has recently demonstrated.

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio as well as all of PeakProsperity.com's other premium content.

Off The Cuff: The Flip-Flop Fed
 PREVIEW by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Axel Merk discuss:

  • The Fed's Flip-Flop
    • Powell suddenly starts signing a dovish tune
  • Which Risks Are The Ones Most Worth Watching
    • Not all risks are created equal
  • Corp Profits vs Wage Inflation
    • Why does the Fed value one and hate the other?
  • Outlook For Gold
    • Looking better and better

Our resident Fed expert, Axel Merk, does his best to interpret the abrupt capitulation Jerome Powell has recently demonstrated.

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio as well as all of PeakProsperity.com's other premium content.

Image | Off The Cuff: Expect More Interest Rate Hikes
Off The Cuff: Expect More Interest Rate Hikes
 PREVIEW
by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Axel Merk discuss:

  • Contagion Risk
    • Where will the Emerging Markets melt-down end?
  • Inflation On The Rise
    • Now cresting above 2%
  • More Fed Rate Hikes Coming
    • Not yet priced into the market
  • Gold/Silver Ratio
    • What is today's extreme level telling us?

Recorded last week, Axel — who has close access to Federal Reserve insiders — explains why he predicts the Fed will hike rates higher than the market currently expects.

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio as well as all of PeakProsperity.com's other premium content.

Off The Cuff: Expect More Interest Rate Hikes
 PREVIEW by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Axel Merk discuss:

  • Contagion Risk
    • Where will the Emerging Markets melt-down end?
  • Inflation On The Rise
    • Now cresting above 2%
  • More Fed Rate Hikes Coming
    • Not yet priced into the market
  • Gold/Silver Ratio
    • What is today's extreme level telling us?

Recorded last week, Axel — who has close access to Federal Reserve insiders — explains why he predicts the Fed will hike rates higher than the market currently expects.

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio as well as all of PeakProsperity.com's other premium content.

Image | Off The Cuff: The Trouble With Trade Wars
Off The Cuff: The Trouble With Trade Wars
 PREVIEW
by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Axel Merk discuss:

  • The Trouble With Trade Wars
    • The uncertainty is whipsawing the markets
  • Actions Have Repercussions
    • China's investment in the US plummets
  • The Rules Of Brinksmanship
    • Chris & Axel give book recommendations
  • Oil & Gold
    • Where to from here?

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It's hard to keep one's head in today's world. Developments are changing at a pace the world just can't handle. As a result, the uncertainty and confusion makes it very difficult to 'surf' events as they unfold.

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio as well as all of PeakProsperity.com's other premium content.
Off The Cuff: The Trouble With Trade Wars
 PREVIEW by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Axel Merk discuss:

  • The Trouble With Trade Wars
    • The uncertainty is whipsawing the markets
  • Actions Have Repercussions
    • China's investment in the US plummets
  • The Rules Of Brinksmanship
    • Chris & Axel give book recommendations
  • Oil & Gold
    • Where to from here?

src=

It's hard to keep one's head in today's world. Developments are changing at a pace the world just can't handle. As a result, the uncertainty and confusion makes it very difficult to 'surf' events as they unfold.

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio as well as all of PeakProsperity.com's other premium content.
Image | Off The Cuff: The Fed May Be Less Worried Of A Stock Plunge Than We Think
Off The Cuff: The Fed May Be Less Worried Of A Stock Plunge Than We Think
 PREVIEW
by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Axel Merk discuss:

  • Dissecting Last Week's FOMC Meeting
    • Powell definitely seems different from his predecessors
  • Why The Fed May Not Worry About Stock Prices
    • All it really cares about are functioning credit markets
  • How Sick Is Europe?
    • Very, but it can linger a long time
  • The Prospects For Gold
    • Well-poised to outperform other assets this year

In the wake of last week's FMOC meeting, the first one for new Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, our site's central banking expert Axel returns to the podcast to share his assessment of the banking world's newest sheriff. Axel believes, as a lawyer (unlike his academic predecessors), Powell is fairly unconcerned with economic theory or asset prices. What he cares most about is regulation and the continued functioning of markets. So as long as credit — the lifeblood of the global economy — is flowing, he may not care much where prices end up…

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today.
Off The Cuff: The Fed May Be Less Worried Of A Stock Plunge Than We Think
 PREVIEW by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Axel Merk discuss:

  • Dissecting Last Week's FOMC Meeting
    • Powell definitely seems different from his predecessors
  • Why The Fed May Not Worry About Stock Prices
    • All it really cares about are functioning credit markets
  • How Sick Is Europe?
    • Very, but it can linger a long time
  • The Prospects For Gold
    • Well-poised to outperform other assets this year

In the wake of last week's FMOC meeting, the first one for new Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, our site's central banking expert Axel returns to the podcast to share his assessment of the banking world's newest sheriff. Axel believes, as a lawyer (unlike his academic predecessors), Powell is fairly unconcerned with economic theory or asset prices. What he cares most about is regulation and the continued functioning of markets. So as long as credit — the lifeblood of the global economy — is flowing, he may not care much where prices end up…

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today.
Image | Off The Cuff: Are We About To See Taper Tantrum 2.0?
Off The Cuff: Are We About To See Taper Tantrum 2.0?
 PREVIEW
by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Axel Merk discuss:

  • Taper Tantrum 2.0?
    • The Fed wants to tighten. But can it?
  • Bad Balance Sheets
    • Can central banks simply hold their bad assets forever?
  • The Flattening Yield Curve
    • A classic signal of approaching recession
  • Bitcoin
    • Trying to make sense of the recent run-up

Recorded before today's FMOC announcement, Chris and Axel discuss the next moves of the central banks, who's intervention and collusion have driven markets more than any other factor over the past decade. Most people don't realize that monthly liquidity injections are currentlyat their highest ever since QE began.

Now that the Fed is talking seriously about tightening — can it? Or will the markets revert to throwing a tantrum as the global liquidity spigots begin to reduce their flow?

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today.
Off The Cuff: Are We About To See Taper Tantrum 2.0?
 PREVIEW by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Axel Merk discuss:

  • Taper Tantrum 2.0?
    • The Fed wants to tighten. But can it?
  • Bad Balance Sheets
    • Can central banks simply hold their bad assets forever?
  • The Flattening Yield Curve
    • A classic signal of approaching recession
  • Bitcoin
    • Trying to make sense of the recent run-up

Recorded before today's FMOC announcement, Chris and Axel discuss the next moves of the central banks, who's intervention and collusion have driven markets more than any other factor over the past decade. Most people don't realize that monthly liquidity injections are currentlyat their highest ever since QE began.

Now that the Fed is talking seriously about tightening — can it? Or will the markets revert to throwing a tantrum as the global liquidity spigots begin to reduce their flow?

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today.
Image | Off The Cuff: Watch The Fed Chair Transition Closely
Off The Cuff: Watch The Fed Chair Transition Closely
 PREVIEW
by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Alex Merk discuss:

  • The Cost Of Disaster
    • Natural disasters are NOT GDP "positive"
  • Watch The Fed Chair Transition
    • It could be what pops this bubble
  • Fracked Up
    • Why the shale patch will continue to disappoint
  • Parallels with the 1930s
    • Military spending is becoming a bigger driver of the economy

Axel Merk returns this week to share why he believes the upcoming Federal Reserve Chair transition just might be the pin that pops today's asset price bubble:

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today.
Off The Cuff: Watch The Fed Chair Transition Closely
 PREVIEW by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Alex Merk discuss:

  • The Cost Of Disaster
    • Natural disasters are NOT GDP "positive"
  • Watch The Fed Chair Transition
    • It could be what pops this bubble
  • Fracked Up
    • Why the shale patch will continue to disappoint
  • Parallels with the 1930s
    • Military spending is becoming a bigger driver of the economy

Axel Merk returns this week to share why he believes the upcoming Federal Reserve Chair transition just might be the pin that pops today's asset price bubble:

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today.
Image | Off The Cuff: The End Of Buying The Dip?
Off The Cuff: The End Of Buying The Dip?
 PREVIEW
by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Axel Merk discuss:

  • Bye, Bye Fisher
    • The Fed's Vice Chair steps down
  • Bye, Bye Yellen?
    • Axel thinks Fisher's departure signals Janet Yellen will be out, too
  • No Decision-makers Left
    • Everyone is on the same train when it comes to the "markets"
  • The Future Of The Dollar, Euro, Yuan & Gold
    • Old correlations no longer hold

Chris and Axel cover lots of ground in this week's Off The Cuff with lots of recent seismic moves — China's yuan-for-oil-for-gold announcement, the latest ECB statement, the resignation of Stanley Fisher (which may presage Yellen's exit when her term is up in early 2018. Things are shifting quickly in the markets, geo-politically, in the world economy — even in the weather. Axel warns that the long-standing relationships we've all become accustomed to are fading, and that we need to be prepared for different outcomes from what we're used to.

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today.
Off The Cuff: The End Of Buying The Dip?
 PREVIEW by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Axel Merk discuss:

  • Bye, Bye Fisher
    • The Fed's Vice Chair steps down
  • Bye, Bye Yellen?
    • Axel thinks Fisher's departure signals Janet Yellen will be out, too
  • No Decision-makers Left
    • Everyone is on the same train when it comes to the "markets"
  • The Future Of The Dollar, Euro, Yuan & Gold
    • Old correlations no longer hold

Chris and Axel cover lots of ground in this week's Off The Cuff with lots of recent seismic moves — China's yuan-for-oil-for-gold announcement, the latest ECB statement, the resignation of Stanley Fisher (which may presage Yellen's exit when her term is up in early 2018. Things are shifting quickly in the markets, geo-politically, in the world economy — even in the weather. Axel warns that the long-standing relationships we've all become accustomed to are fading, and that we need to be prepared for different outcomes from what we're used to.

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today.
Image | Off The Cuff: The Schizophrenic Fed
Off The Cuff: The Schizophrenic Fed
 PREVIEW
by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Axel Merk discuss:

  • No Rate Hike After All?
    • Yellen sings a dovish tune this week
  • Wait, Wasn't The Fed Just Warning It Would Tighten?
    • Yep. It was talking tough up until now
  • Why Can't The Fed Make Up It's Mind?
    • Because it's in a box. Jawboning is all it can do at this point
  • The Next Fed Head
    • A complete transformation may be in store soon

Chris and Axel unpack the latest guidance from the Fed issued this week. For those listening, the Fed's inconsistency is understandably infuriating. One week it's warning about tightening ahead, the next it's telling folks rates are just fine where they are.

Axel, who has more inside access to current & past Fed officials than anyone we know, feels that the Fed is simply trying to walk a tightrope it knows will one day snap. At this point, it's trapped. It needs to normalize rates, but doing so will crash the markets. So it's using the only tool it has — confusion — to keep the system fooled that everything is under control. Of course, one day the ruse will be discovered. But until then, the Fed will obfuscate, vacillate, prevaricate — whatever it can do to keep the status quo in place for one more day…

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today.
Off The Cuff: The Schizophrenic Fed
 PREVIEW by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Axel Merk discuss:

  • No Rate Hike After All?
    • Yellen sings a dovish tune this week
  • Wait, Wasn't The Fed Just Warning It Would Tighten?
    • Yep. It was talking tough up until now
  • Why Can't The Fed Make Up It's Mind?
    • Because it's in a box. Jawboning is all it can do at this point
  • The Next Fed Head
    • A complete transformation may be in store soon

Chris and Axel unpack the latest guidance from the Fed issued this week. For those listening, the Fed's inconsistency is understandably infuriating. One week it's warning about tightening ahead, the next it's telling folks rates are just fine where they are.

Axel, who has more inside access to current & past Fed officials than anyone we know, feels that the Fed is simply trying to walk a tightrope it knows will one day snap. At this point, it's trapped. It needs to normalize rates, but doing so will crash the markets. So it's using the only tool it has — confusion — to keep the system fooled that everything is under control. Of course, one day the ruse will be discovered. But until then, the Fed will obfuscate, vacillate, prevaricate — whatever it can do to keep the status quo in place for one more day…

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today.
Image | Off The Cuff: Rate Hike!
Off The Cuff: Rate Hike!
 PREVIEW
by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Axel Merk discuss:

  • Rate Hike!
    • Implications of last week's Fed announcement
  • Why Are Stocks Still Partying?
    • Shouldn't a rate hike spook investors?
  • The Trump Effect
    • What to expect economically from the new president
  • Cash, Gold & ???
    • What to hold going into 2017

Well, it finally happened. After threatening a year ago to hike rates 4 times in 2016, the Fed squeaked in a single buzzer-beating hike last week. The move surprised few, as the predicted odds of the hike among market followers were 100%. Yet the markets still managed to shrug this off and move higher (typically, a rise in rates is seen as 'applying brakes' to the economy, and tends to cause investors to feel less confident in future earnings growth).

Here to talk about the implications of the recent hike, the probabiliy of more to come in 2017, and the shellacking the precious metals have been subject to, is Axel Merk…
Off The Cuff: Rate Hike!
 PREVIEW by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Axel Merk discuss:

  • Rate Hike!
    • Implications of last week's Fed announcement
  • Why Are Stocks Still Partying?
    • Shouldn't a rate hike spook investors?
  • The Trump Effect
    • What to expect economically from the new president
  • Cash, Gold & ???
    • What to hold going into 2017

Well, it finally happened. After threatening a year ago to hike rates 4 times in 2016, the Fed squeaked in a single buzzer-beating hike last week. The move surprised few, as the predicted odds of the hike among market followers were 100%. Yet the markets still managed to shrug this off and move higher (typically, a rise in rates is seen as 'applying brakes' to the economy, and tends to cause investors to feel less confident in future earnings growth).

Here to talk about the implications of the recent hike, the probabiliy of more to come in 2017, and the shellacking the precious metals have been subject to, is Axel Merk…
Image | Off The Cuff: Multiplying Market Oddities
Off The Cuff: Multiplying Market Oddities
 PREVIEW
by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Axel Merk discuss:

  • Impact Of A Trump Presidency On The Markets
    • What will the most likely trends be?
  • Plummeting Bond Prices
    • Good or bad?
  • The Unbearable Lightness Of Stocks
    • Rising prices in the face of rising interest rates
  • Gold's Prospects
    • Inflation? Higher rates? What will it mean for gold?

Axel and Chris address the increasing sell-off in the bond market, which can also be described as the sudden rising of interest rates. In an over-indebted financial system as ours, rising rates will make it more expensive to service the outstanding debt, placing increasing headwinds on economic growth. Right now, the stock market is ignoring that — instead, it's pricing for perfection. Axel warns that this "oddity" will need to correct soon, one way or the other.

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today.

Off The Cuff: Multiplying Market Oddities
 PREVIEW by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off The Cuff podcast, Chris and Axel Merk discuss:

  • Impact Of A Trump Presidency On The Markets
    • What will the most likely trends be?
  • Plummeting Bond Prices
    • Good or bad?
  • The Unbearable Lightness Of Stocks
    • Rising prices in the face of rising interest rates
  • Gold's Prospects
    • Inflation? Higher rates? What will it mean for gold?

Axel and Chris address the increasing sell-off in the bond market, which can also be described as the sudden rising of interest rates. In an over-indebted financial system as ours, rising rates will make it more expensive to service the outstanding debt, placing increasing headwinds on economic growth. Right now, the stock market is ignoring that — instead, it's pricing for perfection. Axel warns that this "oddity" will need to correct soon, one way or the other.

Click to listen to a sample of this Off the Cuff Podcast or Enroll today to access the full audio and other premium content today.

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