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Image | Off the Cuff: We’re in Danger of an Unwind of Everything
Off the Cuff: We’re in Danger of an Unwind of Everything
 PREVIEW
by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off the Cuff with Mish & Chris podcast, Mish and Chris discuss:

  • QE4
    • NOT a sign of a 'recovering' economy
  • Asset overpricing
    • The liquidity flood is making nearly every asset class overvalued now
  • No exit
    • The Fed has no plan on how eventually to remove this liquidity from the market
  • Potential for a monster upward move in gold
    • It's relatively undervalued, and it's the only safe haven left
Off the Cuff: We’re in Danger of an Unwind of Everything
 PREVIEW by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off the Cuff with Mish & Chris podcast, Mish and Chris discuss:

  • QE4
    • NOT a sign of a 'recovering' economy
  • Asset overpricing
    • The liquidity flood is making nearly every asset class overvalued now
  • No exit
    • The Fed has no plan on how eventually to remove this liquidity from the market
  • Potential for a monster upward move in gold
    • It's relatively undervalued, and it's the only safe haven left
Image | Off the Cuff: Willful Blindness
Off the Cuff: Willful Blindness
 PREVIEW
by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off the Cuff with Mish & Chris podcast, Mish and Chris discuss:

  • Willful Blindness of the Fiscal Cliff
    • Our politicians choose the wrong path despite models for success
  • Gold Manipulation
    • Price discovery is broken in today's markets. Patient bullion holders will be eventually rewarded.
  • America's Growing Demographics Problem
    • Fewer workers making fewer real products
  • Money Printing Forever
    • Why it's the surest bet

 
Off the Cuff: Willful Blindness
 PREVIEW by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off the Cuff with Mish & Chris podcast, Mish and Chris discuss:

  • Willful Blindness of the Fiscal Cliff
    • Our politicians choose the wrong path despite models for success
  • Gold Manipulation
    • Price discovery is broken in today's markets. Patient bullion holders will be eventually rewarded.
  • America's Growing Demographics Problem
    • Fewer workers making fewer real products
  • Money Printing Forever
    • Why it's the surest bet

 
Image | Off the Cuff: Out of Order
Off the Cuff: Out of Order
 PREVIEW
by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off the Cuff with Mish & Chris podcast, Mish and Chris discuss:

  • Fiscal Cliff Follies
    • Whatever 'solution' is enacted won't solve much
  • The Broken U.S. Education Model
    • We are graduating a generation of debt slaves
  • Dangerously Optmistic Stock Prices
    • Assuming elevated earnings in perpetuity
  • Pension Fund Posion
    • No way these funds will meet their actuarial targets

While there are no guarantees that any progress will emerge from the Obama-Boehner showdown, what is clear is that the impact of any agreements (higher taxes and spending cuts) struck on the "Fiscal Cliff" will be GDP-negative. So plan for the headwinds on our economy to strengthen in force next year.

Despite this certainty, as Chris and Mish look across the markets today, they see way too much 'pricing for perfection.' For example, corporate profits are far above their historical norm due to a number of extraordinary events over the past few years. But their underlying stocks are priced as if these elevated earnings levels will continue unabated far into the future.
Off the Cuff: Out of Order
 PREVIEW by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off the Cuff with Mish & Chris podcast, Mish and Chris discuss:

  • Fiscal Cliff Follies
    • Whatever 'solution' is enacted won't solve much
  • The Broken U.S. Education Model
    • We are graduating a generation of debt slaves
  • Dangerously Optmistic Stock Prices
    • Assuming elevated earnings in perpetuity
  • Pension Fund Posion
    • No way these funds will meet their actuarial targets

While there are no guarantees that any progress will emerge from the Obama-Boehner showdown, what is clear is that the impact of any agreements (higher taxes and spending cuts) struck on the "Fiscal Cliff" will be GDP-negative. So plan for the headwinds on our economy to strengthen in force next year.

Despite this certainty, as Chris and Mish look across the markets today, they see way too much 'pricing for perfection.' For example, corporate profits are far above their historical norm due to a number of extraordinary events over the past few years. But their underlying stocks are priced as if these elevated earnings levels will continue unabated far into the future.
Image | Off the Cuff: Will We Learn from Japan’s Missteps In Time?
Off the Cuff: Will We Learn from Japan’s Missteps In Time?
 PREVIEW
by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off the Cuff with Mish & Chris podcast, Mish and Chris discuss:

  • Japan's Kamikaze Monetary Policy
    • The yen may be poised for destruction
  • Denial is a river in Germany, Greece, and Spain
    • Poor decisions being made in all three countries
  • Fiscal Cliff: Deal or No Deal?
    • What's most likely at this point

In this Thanksgiving edition of Off the Cuff, Chris and Mish are grateful for Japan. Why? Because Japan will likely collapse under its unsustainable monetary and fiscal policies before the U.S. does.

Much of the structural rot that ails the U.S. has been festering for much longer in Japan. With signs growing that the Japanese economy is nearing its predictable endgame, its implosion might be shocking enough to cause our leaders to think seriously that fate could be ours if we don't take radically different actions immediately.
Off the Cuff: Will We Learn from Japan’s Missteps In Time?
 PREVIEW by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off the Cuff with Mish & Chris podcast, Mish and Chris discuss:

  • Japan's Kamikaze Monetary Policy
    • The yen may be poised for destruction
  • Denial is a river in Germany, Greece, and Spain
    • Poor decisions being made in all three countries
  • Fiscal Cliff: Deal or No Deal?
    • What's most likely at this point

In this Thanksgiving edition of Off the Cuff, Chris and Mish are grateful for Japan. Why? Because Japan will likely collapse under its unsustainable monetary and fiscal policies before the U.S. does.

Much of the structural rot that ails the U.S. has been festering for much longer in Japan. With signs growing that the Japanese economy is nearing its predictable endgame, its implosion might be shocking enough to cause our leaders to think seriously that fate could be ours if we don't take radically different actions immediately.
Image | Off the Cuff: Awaking with a Whopper Hangover
Off the Cuff: Awaking with a Whopper Hangover
 PREVIEW
by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off the Cuff with Mish & Chris podcast, Mish and Chris discuss:

  • Post-Election Plunge
    • Why are the markets selling off so hard?
  • The Return of the EuroCrisis
    • It worsened while we ignored it.
  • The Fiscal Cliff
    • Will we drive off it? And at what speed?
  • Gold's Resurgence
    • Showing strength as investors demand safety

America awoke on Wednesday with the Presidential election finally over and talk from the re-elected incumbent of moving 'forward' again.
Off the Cuff: Awaking with a Whopper Hangover
 PREVIEW by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off the Cuff with Mish & Chris podcast, Mish and Chris discuss:

  • Post-Election Plunge
    • Why are the markets selling off so hard?
  • The Return of the EuroCrisis
    • It worsened while we ignored it.
  • The Fiscal Cliff
    • Will we drive off it? And at what speed?
  • Gold's Resurgence
    • Showing strength as investors demand safety

America awoke on Wednesday with the Presidential election finally over and talk from the re-elected incumbent of moving 'forward' again.
Image | Off the Cuff: Forces of Nature
Off the Cuff: Forces of Nature
 PREVIEW
by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off the Cuff with Mish & Chris podcast, Mish and Chris discuss:

  • Behind the Bogus Jobs Numbers
    • Overestimates in the hundreds of thousands
  • The Massive Cost of Hurricane Sandy
    • The indirect costs are as concerning as the direct ones
  • Oh…Canada
    • No longer immune to the ills of its trading partners
  • The Fallible Fed
    • Out of arrows at this point?

The carnage of Hurricane Sandy provided a distraction this week from the election spectacle. Expect only a few more weeks of juiced-up numbers (e.g., jobs) and economic claptrap (the rebuilding from Sandy will be an economic boon and increase GDP!) before the unavoidable sinks in: There is no more carpet left to sweep things under. Recession is claiming nearly all of the G7 countries, the $20+ billion cleanup price tag from Sandy will be a sucker-punch to the already-toddering U.S. economy, and our leaders – irrespective of who wins the Presidential elections this month – are out of options. The forces of nature have been at bay long enough – and will now exert themselves, with prejudice.
Off the Cuff: Forces of Nature
 PREVIEW by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off the Cuff with Mish & Chris podcast, Mish and Chris discuss:

  • Behind the Bogus Jobs Numbers
    • Overestimates in the hundreds of thousands
  • The Massive Cost of Hurricane Sandy
    • The indirect costs are as concerning as the direct ones
  • Oh…Canada
    • No longer immune to the ills of its trading partners
  • The Fallible Fed
    • Out of arrows at this point?

The carnage of Hurricane Sandy provided a distraction this week from the election spectacle. Expect only a few more weeks of juiced-up numbers (e.g., jobs) and economic claptrap (the rebuilding from Sandy will be an economic boon and increase GDP!) before the unavoidable sinks in: There is no more carpet left to sweep things under. Recession is claiming nearly all of the G7 countries, the $20+ billion cleanup price tag from Sandy will be a sucker-punch to the already-toddering U.S. economy, and our leaders – irrespective of who wins the Presidential elections this month – are out of options. The forces of nature have been at bay long enough – and will now exert themselves, with prejudice.
Image | Off the Cuff: On the Knife’s Edge
Off the Cuff: On the Knife’s Edge
 PREVIEW
by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off the Cuff with Mish & Chris podcast, Mish and Chris discuss:

  • Phony employment
    • More workers being hired to do less work more poorly
  • Phony hopium
    • Despite QE3, over half the companies reporting Q3 earnings are under analyst expectations
  • Germany entering recession
    • The EU's only functioning economic engine is sputtering
  • Japan on the knife's edge
    • Between crushing deflation and currency destruction
  • Time for our politicians to clarify our priorities
    • What are we not going to do?

As we enter the fall and the upcoming elections, we find the status quo is becoming less and less sustainable on many fronts.

[Short summary tonight due to WS game 2. With all respect to Bob and Jim H — Go Giants!!]
Off the Cuff: On the Knife’s Edge
 PREVIEW by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off the Cuff with Mish & Chris podcast, Mish and Chris discuss:

  • Phony employment
    • More workers being hired to do less work more poorly
  • Phony hopium
    • Despite QE3, over half the companies reporting Q3 earnings are under analyst expectations
  • Germany entering recession
    • The EU's only functioning economic engine is sputtering
  • Japan on the knife's edge
    • Between crushing deflation and currency destruction
  • Time for our politicians to clarify our priorities
    • What are we not going to do?

As we enter the fall and the upcoming elections, we find the status quo is becoming less and less sustainable on many fronts.

[Short summary tonight due to WS game 2. With all respect to Bob and Jim H — Go Giants!!]
Image | Off the Cuff: Picking Our Poison
Off the Cuff: Picking Our Poison
 PREVIEW
by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off the Cuff with Mish & Chris podcast, Mish and Chris discuss:

  • The Presidential Debates
    • The only big winner is the status quo
  • Surprisingly Rosy Data
    • Reality? Or election year fudging?
  • The Universality of Human Behavior
    • Chris' UK trip reaffirms his confidence in his forecasts
  • Recession vs Higher Deficits
    • Picking our poison
  • Holding Gold
    • The trend is gaining in popularity

Despite the posturing and soundbyte zingers, both Chris and Mish do not find any substantial difference between the two presidential candidates when it comes to the Three Es.
Off the Cuff: Picking Our Poison
 PREVIEW by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off the Cuff with Mish & Chris podcast, Mish and Chris discuss:

  • The Presidential Debates
    • The only big winner is the status quo
  • Surprisingly Rosy Data
    • Reality? Or election year fudging?
  • The Universality of Human Behavior
    • Chris' UK trip reaffirms his confidence in his forecasts
  • Recession vs Higher Deficits
    • Picking our poison
  • Holding Gold
    • The trend is gaining in popularity

Despite the posturing and soundbyte zingers, both Chris and Mish do not find any substantial difference between the two presidential candidates when it comes to the Three Es.
Image | Off the Cuff: When Trillions Aren’t Enough
Off the Cuff: When Trillions Aren’t Enough
 PREVIEW
by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off the Cuff with Mish & Chris podcast, Mish and Chris discuss:

  • No Joy on Wall Street
    • Banks cry poor despite record profits
  • The Invisible Recession
    • Hidden by faulty data
  • The Fallible Fed
    • It really doesn't know what's going on
  • Our Taxing Tax System
    • The case for simplification

It's clear to all that QE3 is a continued push by the Federal Reserve to rescue the banking system. But why is it necessary?
Off the Cuff: When Trillions Aren’t Enough
 PREVIEW by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off the Cuff with Mish & Chris podcast, Mish and Chris discuss:

  • No Joy on Wall Street
    • Banks cry poor despite record profits
  • The Invisible Recession
    • Hidden by faulty data
  • The Fallible Fed
    • It really doesn't know what's going on
  • Our Taxing Tax System
    • The case for simplification

It's clear to all that QE3 is a continued push by the Federal Reserve to rescue the banking system. But why is it necessary?
Image | Off the Cuff: At the Boiling Point
Off the Cuff: At the Boiling Point
 PREVIEW
by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off the Cuff with Mish & Chris podcast, Mish and Chris discuss:

  • Unrest is breaking out around the world
    • When the populace has no options, it revolts
  • QE3 bang already a whimper
    • The impact of each successive easing is less than its precedent
  • Gold showing real strength
    • Support for the metal is going mainstream
  • Canadian coal-mine canary
    • Huge drop in housing sales

As predicted, as we head out of the slow summer, events are now beginning to unfold fast and furious. Renewed street riots in Spain and Greece show how disaffected the citizens there are from the failed policies that have been used to placate them to date. China and Japan seem to be inching further to potential armed conflict, as do Israel and Iran. The market is realizing that with open-ended money-printing now announced, there is no future "juice jolt" to anticipate, and so asset prices have already returned to pre-QE3 territory. With such uncertainty growing everywhere one looks, it's little surprise that more and more of those who once scoffed at gold are now recommending the precious metal.
Off the Cuff: At the Boiling Point
 PREVIEW by Adam Taggart

In this week's Off the Cuff with Mish & Chris podcast, Mish and Chris discuss:

  • Unrest is breaking out around the world
    • When the populace has no options, it revolts
  • QE3 bang already a whimper
    • The impact of each successive easing is less than its precedent
  • Gold showing real strength
    • Support for the metal is going mainstream
  • Canadian coal-mine canary
    • Huge drop in housing sales

As predicted, as we head out of the slow summer, events are now beginning to unfold fast and furious. Renewed street riots in Spain and Greece show how disaffected the citizens there are from the failed policies that have been used to placate them to date. China and Japan seem to be inching further to potential armed conflict, as do Israel and Iran. The market is realizing that with open-ended money-printing now announced, there is no future "juice jolt" to anticipate, and so asset prices have already returned to pre-QE3 territory. With such uncertainty growing everywhere one looks, it's little surprise that more and more of those who once scoffed at gold are now recommending the precious metal.
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