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Podcast

by Chris Martenson

Note:  I am going to travel to NYC today to attend the Occupy Wall Street protest. I want to see firsthand who is there and what their concerns are. It’s not that I don’t trust the media to accurately portray the concerns of the attendees… Okay, yes it is, that’s exactly my concern. I will be traveling with an accomplished media crew to record the event, interviews, and my observations. If you are planning to be there, we will be starting at Zuccotti Park, arriving there about 1:30 pm. Look for us, and let’s connect and have some fun!


 

I had an opportunity to attend and present at the Casey Research Summit in Chandler, AZ on October 1-3, 2011. My perception of the audience, shaped during conversations held during breaks and over dinner, was that of interesting and curious people, most of them incredibly successful in life, seeking to better grasp what the issues and opportunities of our day really are. At times I felt like I was at a wedding, where there’s really no chance of connecting with all the people you wish to speak to.

The conference itself was incredibly well run – like a tight ship – and I learned a lot from the other presenters and exhibitors. My own talk was quite well received, and a quick show of hands at the beginning revealed that roughly 90% of the 450 in attendance had not yet heard of the Crash Course nor been otherwise exposed to my work.

I always relish the opportunity to reach new audiences and this was a great one. (Thank you, Carl!)

My key take-aways from the conference were:

Casey Research Summary (And I’m Off to Join a Protest)
PREVIEW by Chris Martenson

Note:  I am going to travel to NYC today to attend the Occupy Wall Street protest. I want to see firsthand who is there and what their concerns are. It’s not that I don’t trust the media to accurately portray the concerns of the attendees… Okay, yes it is, that’s exactly my concern. I will be traveling with an accomplished media crew to record the event, interviews, and my observations. If you are planning to be there, we will be starting at Zuccotti Park, arriving there about 1:30 pm. Look for us, and let’s connect and have some fun!


 

I had an opportunity to attend and present at the Casey Research Summit in Chandler, AZ on October 1-3, 2011. My perception of the audience, shaped during conversations held during breaks and over dinner, was that of interesting and curious people, most of them incredibly successful in life, seeking to better grasp what the issues and opportunities of our day really are. At times I felt like I was at a wedding, where there’s really no chance of connecting with all the people you wish to speak to.

The conference itself was incredibly well run – like a tight ship – and I learned a lot from the other presenters and exhibitors. My own talk was quite well received, and a quick show of hands at the beginning revealed that roughly 90% of the 450 in attendance had not yet heard of the Crash Course nor been otherwise exposed to my work.

I always relish the opportunity to reach new audiences and this was a great one. (Thank you, Carl!)

My key take-aways from the conference were:

by charleshughsmith

The Technical Argument for a Stronger Dollar

Tuesday, October 4, 2011

Executive Summary

  • The dangers of depending on correlations
  • The dollar as ‘anti-euro’ argument 
  • Key support levels to watch
  • Cycles analysis of dollar prices
  • Keeping the limits of technical analysis in mind

Part I – Heresy and the U.S. Dollar

If you have not yet read Part I, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

Part II – The Technical Argument for a Stronger Dollar

In Part I, I raised the potentially heretical possibility (at least to some) that the U.S. dollar, as reflected by the DXY dollar index, might be in a multi-year uptrend, and then endeavored to sort through the psychological underpinnings of resistance to this possibility.

Here in Part II, I will lay out the technical case for the DXY’s possible multiyear advance.

I would like to start by addressing correlations. Given our minds’ predilection for pattern-matching, it’s natural to see correlations between two slices of the market. For example, when the DXY rises, the stock market declines. This correlation invites speculation on reasons that would explain the correlation.

As the saying goes, correlation is not causation, and so while this line of speculation might illuminate some hidden causal dynamic in play, it also offers ample opportunity for distraction and misguided conclusions.

The Technical Argument for a Stronger Dollar
PREVIEW by charleshughsmith

The Technical Argument for a Stronger Dollar

Tuesday, October 4, 2011

Executive Summary

  • The dangers of depending on correlations
  • The dollar as ‘anti-euro’ argument 
  • Key support levels to watch
  • Cycles analysis of dollar prices
  • Keeping the limits of technical analysis in mind

Part I – Heresy and the U.S. Dollar

If you have not yet read Part I, available free to all readers, please click here to read it first.

Part II – The Technical Argument for a Stronger Dollar

In Part I, I raised the potentially heretical possibility (at least to some) that the U.S. dollar, as reflected by the DXY dollar index, might be in a multi-year uptrend, and then endeavored to sort through the psychological underpinnings of resistance to this possibility.

Here in Part II, I will lay out the technical case for the DXY’s possible multiyear advance.

I would like to start by addressing correlations. Given our minds’ predilection for pattern-matching, it’s natural to see correlations between two slices of the market. For example, when the DXY rises, the stock market declines. This correlation invites speculation on reasons that would explain the correlation.

As the saying goes, correlation is not causation, and so while this line of speculation might illuminate some hidden causal dynamic in play, it also offers ample opportunity for distraction and misguided conclusions.

by Chris Martenson
David Stockman: Blame the Fed!
by Chris Martenson
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